Bayern Alzenau vs SV Steinbach 1920 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
2º
27
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
33% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
2 - 2
BAY
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
5 - 1
HSC
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAY
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 7
BAY
25%
22%
53%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SV Steinbach 1920
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STE
1 - 4
DAR
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 0
STE
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
STE
2 - 2
TSV
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STE
1 - 3
SUF
57%
19%
24%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
STE
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |