B. Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
M05
2 - 0
LEV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SGD
4 - 3
LEV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
LEV
4 - 0
RBS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SCF
0 - 1
LEV
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
HSV
58%
21%
21%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
KAI
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
EVE
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 1
BRE
10%
16%
74%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
ATH
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SCF
3 - 4
BRE
20%
21%
59%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |