B. Leverkusen vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 0
LEV
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
LEV
7 - 0
KFC
40%
28%
31%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 5
WHE
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
FCB
2 - 1
LEV
29%
22%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 2
ROT
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
OSN
2 - 2
OSC
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
KÖL
1 - 1
OSN
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
TUS
2 - 0
OSN
28%
21%
51%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
OSN
2 - 1
WUP
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
WAT
5 - 3
OSN
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |