Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
B. Leverkusen vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 1
EIN
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
S04
0 - 3
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
BYM
7%
13%
81%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FTC
0 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 3
LEV
19%
22%
58%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
UNI
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
KVM
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
FCU
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GNK
1 - 2
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |