B. Leverkusen vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 2
HAN
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
PRE
2 - 3
LEV
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 1
STP
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
WHE
3 - 1
LEV
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 1
KÖL
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
WHE
2 - 0
STP
27%
23%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 1
STP
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
STP
3 - 1
WOL
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 0
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |