B. Leverkusen vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
HER
0 - 3
LEV
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 1
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
WOL
1 - 2
LEV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 0
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 0
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 0
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ZBR
4 - 2
SPA
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 1
BOH
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 3
SPA
39%
29%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |