B. Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 1
LEV
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CZJ
0 - 4
LEV
9%
18%
73%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEV
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LEV
6 - 1
EIN
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCN
1 - 4
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 1
M05
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VHG
1 - 2
SCF
9%
16%
76%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 0
BET
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
3 - 3
HES
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 1
FCV
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |