Europa League Semi-finals
Global 4-2B. Leverkusen vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 May. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 5
LEV
17%
22%
62%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
02 May. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 2
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
27 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
STU
66%
20%
15%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
21 Apr. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 1
LEV
43%
24%
33%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | +1 |
18 Apr. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 1
LEV
22%
23%
55%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 May. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
02 May. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 2
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
ROM
55%
24%
22%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
25 Apr. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 2
ROM
26%
26%
49%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
22 Apr. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 3
BOL
62%
22%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |