Europa League Semi-finals
Global 0-1
B. Leverkusen vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
STU
1 - 1
LEV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEV
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 2
KOL
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 0
LEV
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
RBL
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
ROM
24%
25%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEV
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 2
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROM
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |