B. Leverkusen vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
HSV
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
DYN
4 - 2
LEV
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
STU
3 - 0
LEV
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
BRE
3 - 2
LEV
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
19%
26%
55%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ROM
3 - 3
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
ROM
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
ROM
30%
27%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 2
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |