B. Leverkusen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 4
LEV
5%
13%
83%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 2
VCF
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
3 - 4
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 2
EIB
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ROD
3 - 3
PAD
8%
13%
79%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 4
LAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAD
3 - 3
ATH
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
ENM
1 - 4
PAD
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DSC
0 - 7
PAD
1%
3%
97%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |