B. Leverkusen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
S04
7 - 4
LEV
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
LEV
4 - 0
WOL
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 0
LEV
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 1
EIN
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LEV
0 - 0
HAN
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MSV
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
BVB
2 - 0
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MSV
2 - 2
KAI
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
STU
0 - 1
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
M05
1 - 1
MSV
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |