B. Leverkusen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
EIN
0 - 2
LEV
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1991 |
SVS
0 - 1
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1991 |
WAT
3 - 0
LEV
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1991 |
LEV
1 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
HER
1 - 2
LEV
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
MSV
0 - 2
KAI
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1991 |
MSV
0 - 0
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1991 |
MON
0 - 0
MSV
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 0
STU
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 0
BWB
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |