Europa League 1/16
Global 5-5
B. Leverkusen vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 3
LEV
34%
24%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 0
LEV
20%
22%
59%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
RTV
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
LEV
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
PSG
26%
22%
53%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 2
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
AUX
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
7 - 1
AJA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |