B. Leverkusen vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
LEV
3 - 2
S04
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
STU
1 - 2
LEV
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
LEV
2 - 0
BYM
32%
24%
44%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
MSV
0 - 0
LEV
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEV
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
20%
26%
54%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAG
77%
15%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MLL
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |