Europa League 1/32
Global 7-1
B. Leverkusen vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
MON
2 - 1
LEV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
LEV
1 - 0
KAI
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
KAL
1 - 4
LEV
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
HSV
2 - 1
LEV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 0
FCN
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
KAL
3 - 1
DJU
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
KAL
1 - 4
LEV
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ELF
2 - 2
KAL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
KAL
1 - 5
AIK
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
IKB
2 - 0
KAL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |