B. Leverkusen vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
2º
14
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 62 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 24 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 22 |
18º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 1
LEV
9%
16%
75%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
4 - 0
LEV
53%
22%
25%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
STU
63%
20%
17%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
ELV
85%
11%
4%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
73%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
WOL
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 2
HEI
32%
24%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 0
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
HEI
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 0
HOF
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |