B. Leverkusen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
BVB
0 - 0
LEV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
LEV
4 - 2
S04
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
S04
2 - 2
LEV
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 1
STU
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BYM
0 - 0
LEV
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
F95
0 - 3
BYM
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
EIN
5 - 0
F95
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
KFC
5 - 2
F95
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
F95
2 - 1
FCN
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 3
F95
66%
19%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |