B. Leverkusen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1981 |
KAI
3 - 1
LEV
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
BVB
5 - 3
LEV
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
LEV
3 - 0
BYM
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
KFC
3 - 0
LEV
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 5
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
SLB
1 - 0
F95
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
F95
3 - 1
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
S04
0 - 4
F95
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
F95
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
HER
2 - 1
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |