Europa League Last 16
Global 4-0
B. Leverkusen vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
LEV
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
LEV
52%
22%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 3
M05
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 3
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FTC
1 - 1
MEZ
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DVS
0 - 2
FTC
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FTC
1 - 1
KTE
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
FTC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FTC
3 - 1
UJP
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |