B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
INT
3 - 2
LEV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MUN
0 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 1
WAL
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 3
HSV
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
FCB
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
FCN
2 - 2
COT
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
FCN
0 - 2
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 2
BVB
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MUN
2 - 2
FCN
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 3
HSV
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |