B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
KFC
3 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
LEV
0 - 0
KOL
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1989 |
STP
2 - 0
LEV
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
LEV
1 - 3
SVS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
LEV
2 - 0
KFC
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
FCN
1 - 1
KAI
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
HSV
3 - 2
FCN
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
FCN
1 - 0
STU
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
KSC
1 - 1
FCN
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
FCN
1 - 1
EIN
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |