B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
HOM
1 - 1
LEV
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1987 |
LEV
1 - 0
WAL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1987 |
LEV
4 - 1
STU
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1987 |
KFC
1 - 1
LEV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1987 |
LEV
4 - 2
HOM
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
FCN
0 - 0
STU
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1987 |
KFC
0 - 2
FCN
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1987 |
MON
4 - 0
FCN
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1987 |
FCN
2 - 1
KAI
49%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
FCN
3 - 3
HSV
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |