B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
MSV
2 - 4
LEV
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1981 |
LEV
2 - 0
RTV
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
MUN
1 - 0
LEV
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 2
HSV
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
STU
2 - 1
LEV
80%
13%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 0
ARB
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
S04
1 - 1
FCN
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 1
F95
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
BVB
1 - 0
FCN
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
FCN
0 - 1
BYM
24%
25%
52%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |