Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
B. Leverkusen vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
BYM
0 - 3
LEV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
F95
2 - 1
LEV
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
DUK
0 - 0
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 0
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
RTV
2 - 1
LEV
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
DUK
0 - 0
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 0
HOM
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
HOM
3 - 2
DUK
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 1
DYN
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
DYN
3 - 0
DUK
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |