Europa League 1/32
Global 0-2
B. Leverkusen vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
1 - 1
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
WOL
2 - 1
LEV
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
0 - 8
LEV
3%
10%
87%
|
86 | 26 | 60 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LEV
2 - 5
BYM
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 4
LEV
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 1
CSK
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 5
CSK
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CSK
2 - 1
LOV
62%
20%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
CSK
1 - 3
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |