B. Leverkusen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
10º
2º
30
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 86 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 75 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 46 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
96% | 4% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
LEV
1 - 0
M05
75%
16%
9%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
BVB
2 - 3
LEV
34%
24%
42%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 0
ROT
89%
9%
3%
|
99 | 59 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 1
SCF
75%
16%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
73%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
WOL
5 - 1
MON
38%
25%
38%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
NEC
63%
20%
16%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HOF
1 - 2
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
HOL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |