B. Leverkusen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 0
LEV
75%
15%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
WAL
3 - 1
LEV
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
EIN
2 - 2
LEV
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
LEV
3 - 0
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
BYM
2 - 1
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BVB
2 - 1
KFC
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
BVB
0 - 3
STU
48%
23%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
HSV
4 - 1
BVB
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
BVB
1 - 2
HSV
36%
23%
41%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1983 |
KAI
2 - 2
BVB
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |