B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
LEV
4 - 2
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HAN
1 - 0
LEV
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LEV
1 - 2
HSV
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
HOF
1 - 4
LEV
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 4
STU
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RTV
3 - 2
COT
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 1
RTV
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
RTV
2 - 1
S04
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 0
RTV
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RTV
2 - 0
KSC
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |