B. Leverkusen vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
8º
1º
72
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
STU
68%
18%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 2
LEV
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 3
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 1
LEV
14%
21%
66%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 1
MON
80%
13%
8%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
99 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
FCU
85%
11%
5%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BYM
0 - 1
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
HOF
82%
12%
6%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | +1 |