B. Leverkusen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
LEV
4 - 2
BYM
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
LIE
0 - 2
LEV
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
HER
2 - 2
LEV
21%
24%
56%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
LEV
4 - 0
KOL
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
HSV
0 - 1
LEV
33%
26%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 1
S04
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
KOL
3 - 5
ARB
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 3
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARB
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
ARB
0 - 3
HSV
34%
25%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |