B. Leverkusen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1982 |
LEV
2 - 1
OFC
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1982 |
OFC
0 - 1
LEV
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
ARB
1 - 3
LEV
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
STU
4 - 2
LEV
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1982 |
ARB
1 - 3
LEV
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1982 |
BYM
3 - 2
ARB
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
RTV
1 - 1
ARB
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
ARB
5 - 0
MON
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
STU
2 - 3
ARB
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |