B. Leverkusen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 0
LEV
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 2
SWE
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
OSN
1 - 1
LEV
86%
10%
3%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
LEV
4 - 0
IFT
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 3
LEV
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
5 - 0
WOL
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 1
AHA
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 1
ARB
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
6 - 2
FCP
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 18 | 44 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
FCM
5 - 1
ARB
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |