B. Leverkusen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 0
LEV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 1
OSN
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 0
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 2
BSC
76%
18%
6%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
ISC
2 - 3
LEV
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
AAA
3 - 1
WOL
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
ARB
2 - 0
AAA
68%
20%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
AAA
3 - 0
AHA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
SWE
0 - 0
AAA
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 1
OSN
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |