B. Leverkusen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 1
HOF
78%
15%
7%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RBL
2 - 2
LEV
33%
24%
43%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 1
LEV
29%
23%
48%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 1
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
EBT
1 - 2
KOL
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 0
ELV
63%
21%
17%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HSV
1 - 0
KOL
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
KOL
3 - 2
VIK
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LUG
3 - 3
KOL
33%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |