B. Leverkusen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 0
LEV
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 4
LEV
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 0
BVB
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STU
0 - 1
LEV
37%
25%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
BRE
45%
23%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 2
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HSV
3 - 4
KOL
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
S04
5 - 1
KOL
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KOL
0 - 3
WOL
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |