B. Leverkusen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
STP
2 - 1
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
LEV
1 - 2
BYM
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
LEV
2 - 0
ROS
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
EIN
1 - 1
LEV
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
KOL
0 - 1
KAI
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
SCF
2 - 0
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
HSV
0 - 0
KOL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
KOL
2 - 0
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
KFC
1 - 1
KOL
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |