DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 8-3
B. Leverkusen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
MSV
2 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
LEV
0 - 3
HSV
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
EIN
3 - 2
LEV
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
FCN
3 - 2
LEV
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 0
F95
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 1
DAR
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
4 - 0
BYM
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |