B. Leverkusen U19 vs Hennef 05 Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
6º
2º
4
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 32 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 30 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 22 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 21 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 20 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 15 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 11 |
7º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 8 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 2
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
LEV
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 1
VIK
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 3
KAI
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
LEV
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hennef 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 1
VIK
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
HEN
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
ALA
18%
18%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WEH
2 - 3
HEN
82%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 0
HEN
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |