B. Leverkusen II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
DUS
0 - 0
BAY
15%
22%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAY
3 - 1
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
GEW
3 - 0
BAY
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WUP
0 - 0
BAY
15%
21%
65%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
BAY
4 - 0
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VFB
5 - 1
SWE
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
KFC
3 - 2
VFB
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VFB
5 - 1
BER
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BSC
4 - 2
VFB
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 1
VFB
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |