B. Leverkusen II vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 2
DRE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 2
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
BAY
2 - 2
HAM
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
VER
4 - 3
BAY
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 3
ROT
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
STU
2 - 0
KAI
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
STU
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
STU
0 - 0
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
ROS
0 - 2
STU
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2003 |
STU
0 - 1
BVB
44%
26%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |