B. Leverkusen II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 1
VER
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TUS
1 - 1
BAY
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAY
4 - 1
ELV
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
DIE
1 - 0
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WUP
5 - 2
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 3
KAI
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
BOC
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
4 - 0
ROT
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 1
VER
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |