B. Leverkusen II vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 1
DUS
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 2
BAY
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
BAY
2 - 1
AAA
76%
15%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
BAY
2 - 1
BFR
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 0
BOR
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 5
BOR
28%
27%
45%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VEL
4 - 0
MSV
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MSV
4 - 3
DUS
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
YUK
1 - 5
MSV
20%
21%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
DUR
4 - 2
MSV
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |