B. Leverkusen II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
OSN
3 - 3
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
0 - 1
RWA
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BOR
1 - 1
BAY
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAY
4 - 0
HOL
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
HAM
4 - 1
BAY
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
F95
1 - 1
WSV
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCU
1 - 0
F95
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
F95
0 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WER
2 - 0
F95
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
F95
2 - 1
LUB
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |