B. Leverkusen II vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ABI
2 - 0
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 1
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
PRE
2 - 0
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUP
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
KAI
5 - 1
BAY
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 3
WIE
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BOC
2 - 1
BOR
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 0
S04
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 3
BOR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
BOR
3 - 2
MAI
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |