Bayer Dormagen vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
84.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayer Dormagen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FCV
5 - 1
BDO
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BDO
2 - 3
VJG
19%
20%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
5 - 0
BDO
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
BDO
1 - 1
KAL
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DUS
3 - 1
BDO
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NIE
0 - 3
SSV
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 1
NIE
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 2
ASM
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 1
NIE
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 2
SPV
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |