Bayburt vs Bursa Yıldırımspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
11º
11º
9
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 54 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 53 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 51 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 50 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 47 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 43 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 35 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 28 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 18 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 26% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 12.5% |
|
Next round
|
20.5% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KIY
0 - 0
BAY
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
OSK
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 0
SAS
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
CSP
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bursa Yıldırımspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
CSP
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKS
2 - 3
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
ANK
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |