Bayburt vs Çankaya FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
14º
14º
20
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 59 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 52 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
3.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 2
BAY
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
PAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 2
BAY
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
ANA
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 1
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Çankaya FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 0
OSK
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
ANK
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 0
CSP
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AKS
4 - 1
ANK
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 0
KIY
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |