Bay Olympic vs Tauranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
7º
6º
25
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 5
BAO
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
BAO
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 3
BAO
55%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAO
1 - 2
BIR
27%
20%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAO
4 - 2
WCR
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 2
ECB
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 1
WCR
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WES
7 - 1
TCU
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 3
TCU
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
TCU
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |