Bay Olympic vs Birkenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
53.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
7º
7º
32
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 53 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 44 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 36 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 16 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 11 |
12º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
1% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAO
4 - 2
WCR
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WES
2 - 0
BAO
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAO
2 - 1
ECB
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAO
2 - 1
EAS
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +5 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAO
2 - 1
MAN
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
AFC
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 4
BIR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 1
WCR
73%
15%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
BIR
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BIR
4 - 4
HAW
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |